03 November, 2008

Early Indicators Will Come From Indiana

One more day to go and it's clear that this race is Barack Obama's to lose. Final polls show a Sunday surge in battleground states for Obama and his lead over John McCain in Pennsylvania holds steady at seven points.

We'll know early if Obama is going to win when the first returns are reported from Indiana. Polls in the Hoosier state close at 6:00PM and if Obama wins Indiana it will likely be a long night of blue waves crashing on the Republican party. Indiana is currently a toss up state that McCain leads and is polling at a two point advantage.

If McCain wins Indiana in a squeaker, we'll turn our attention to Virginia. If Obama wins Virginia, McCain would need a miracle of Our Lady of Palinesque proportions to pull off victory.

Let's say, my friends, that McCain fulfills his campaign promise of the Mac being back and wins Virginia. It will then come down to McCain needing to sweep six toss-up states, including Pennsylvania, in order to come out victorious.

Yes, polls have been wrong before. However, not in my lifetime have I witnessed a reversal of such a consistent polling advantage like Obama has.

Then again, we've only had white guys running for president in the past. With that said, all bets are off.

2 comments:

David said...

Well well well, Max...Will we see a retraction from one of your prior post??

Gov. Sarah Palin violated no ethics laws when she fired her public safety commissioner, the state personnel board concluded in a report released Monday. "There is no probable cause to believe that the governor, or any other state official, violated the Alaska Executive Ethics Act in connection with these matters," the report says.

Max Fischer said...

As you recall, I only wrote that the Alaska Legislature found in her report that she violated the Alaska Ethics code. In fact, I was clear to say that she broke no law. The report stated an opinion and the subsequent criminal investigation cleared her of criminal wrongdoings.